Lalu Paswant Mulayam discard Congress Party

Lalu Yadav is a clever politician and he has now realized that it is very difficult to win considerable seats in the state of Bihar or retain his own seat under the rule of Nitish Kumar whose popularity among voters has increased sharply due to his hard work and serious involvement in solving the problems of the state and reducing the pain of voters. Mr. Ram Vilas Paswan has lost his vote bank and his is no more enjoying the image as well-wisher of backward class. He became Minister in central cabinet and fully ignored the voters of not only his constituency but also his state.
Similarly Mulayam and Amar Singh in UP understand very well that Mayawati is now having upper hand in politics. Congress party hurt by the action of SP has thought it better to face the election alone than to accept 3 or 4 seats out of 80 seats in UP.
All these leaders are highly egoist and their parties namely RJD, LSP and SP are based on no ideology but the personal image of its top leader. People of the state of Bihar and UP have seen the rule of these persons and it is undeniable truth that voters dislike them there is great erosion in their popularity. But by manipulation and by fraud they used to win the game in the past. Now they all are in opposition in their states and due to tightness of Election Commission they are not in a position to play faul game with the system or cheat the voters as vehemently as they used to do during their own regim. As such, it is not very much astonishing all the three have come together despite the fact that they were at daggers drawn to each other for last decade and more .
On the other hand Congress party being a National Party is equally afraid of loosing ground in these two states in particular and in the entire country in general due to its rejection by its allies in almost all the states. Now after almost disintegration of UPA, Congress Party is left with no option but to fight a battle for survival and constrained to fight the same alone.
It is good luck of these political parties that they enjoyed the fruits of power for last five years under the umbrella of UPA inspite of their differences in the matter of policy and principles of governance. It is the fear of BJP and NDA coming back to power that united these persons and parties; otherwise there was never unity of hearts in the core of their hearts.
It is therefore very much likely that all these four political parties will be almost finished in the state of Bihar and UP. At best Congress Party will secure five seats each in Bihar and UP and similarly RJD will get less than 10 and Paswan will get less than 5 seats in Bihar in the forthcoming election. The main reason of their defeat or reduction in seats of these political parties drastically will be erosion in popularity, better performance by their opponents being current rulers and division of votes in various contesting candidates. As a result BJP –JD (U) combine in Bihar, and BSP and BJP in UP will secure better number of seats.
Whoever wins the game, there will be multi cornered contest in most of the constituencies and hence there will be more surprise victories than expected victories. ‘Might is right’ will be the prime factor behind many victories. The greatest victim will be democracy, policies and principles, and lastly the goodness of good candidates and fate of voters in the hands of bad persons. Even if leaders of these rotten political groups fail to secure considerable seats they have the brain to capture the power indirectly in complete disregard to choice of the voters as they did in 2004
It is painful that after spending billions of rupees and precious time, the country will be ruled by same notorious candidates, in no time friends of today will become foes of tomorrow and foes of yesterdays will become friends of today. This is Indian politics where illiterate and inexperienced voters are empowered to make the destiny of the country and so called educated and skilled persons either rape and strangulate democracy or think it better to remain silent spectator of rape and murder of democracy .
Even Election Commission or President of India or ruling government or any competent authority is not taking any initiative to do justice with voters and to ensure that game of manipulation is stopped.Everyone knows that there will fractured mandate and none will get even 20% of seats alone and the game of money will be played as usual. But none has decided the rules before result to avoid constitutional crisis likely to precipitate after the elction .
Danendra
27th March 2009